Latino Battleground States Poll: Harris 64%, Trump 31%

A new battleground states poll of Latino voters has Kamala Harris with a 33-point advantage, civic advocacy organization Voto Latino shared during a Monday morning press call about the survey.

In August, Harris led Trump 60%-39%. The October margin is now 64% for Harris and 31% for Trump. Previous to that, Joe Biden received 48% of support to Trump’s 33%.

For some specific swing states, the poll said that Harris is outperforming Joe Biden’s Latino support, particularly in Pennsylvania, which has Harris in the mid-70s with Latino voters. The most competitive states for Trump with Latinos are Nevada and Wisconsin. (Note: This slide from the Voto Latino press call shows a typo.)

Earlier this summer, Voto Latino officially endorsed Harris for President, and when The Latino Newsletter asked about whether a firewall exists between the polling and the endorsement, Voto Latino said the following:

“Both the endorsement and this poll were done by Voto Latino 501(c)(4). So this is now a public poll, and the results are also now public,” Amir Patel, Voto Latino’s Chief Programs Officer, told The Latino Newsletter during the press call. “This tested both Harris and Trump, obviously, but this was done by the same entity.”

The Voto Latino website says Voto Latino is a 501(c)4 nonprofit organization, and the Voto Latino Foundation is a 501(c)3 nonprofit organization. 

According to the poll, there have been Harris increases with Latinos under 39 and Latina women.

The poll noted that Harris also has a 51-point net advantage in favorability.

This is the poll’s methodology from the press call, which surveyed 2,000 likely Latino voters across six swing states.

Here are the remaining slides that were shared.

About the Author

Julio Ricardo Varela is the founder and interim publisher of The Latino Newsletter.

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